Kayo Nishimura vs Na-Ri Kim Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Kim has won 38.35% of points on their second serve over the last six months, slightly outperforming Nishimura who has a 34.68% success rate. Could this be crucial in determining the match winner?
• Return Game Stats: Kim captures 47.39% of opponents' second serve points recently, whereas Nishimura is slightly ahead with 49.87%. When it comes to first serve returns, Nishimura leads by taking 39.04% of points compared to Kim's 33.97%. This gives insights into who might be favored in this head-to-head meeting.
• Pressure Handling: Under pressure, Kim successfully saves 51.35% of breakpoints, whereas Nishimura manages 40%, suggesting Kim might have an advantage in crucial moments.
• Overall Match Performance: Kim has a higher overall match win rate at 62.5% (W/L 20/12) in the last year compared to Nishimura's 54.29% (W/L 19/16), providing a broader perspective on their performance.
• Surface Strength: Kim excels on indoor hard courts with a career win rate of 78%, while Nishimura performs best on hard courts with a 63% win rate. On clay, Kim shows a 57% win rate, and Nishimura struggles on grass with no wins.
• Event Level Influence: Kim primarily competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 66.67%, whereas Nishimura plays in higher-tier Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 47.37%. This could tilt the balance depending on the event level.
• Opponent Quality: Kim's average opponent ranking over the past year is 380.59, slightly tougher compared to Nishimura's 420.37, providing a basis for considering the level of competition each has faced.
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match extends to a deciding set, Nishimura has a higher success rate, winning 64% compared to Kim's 57%, which might be pivotal in a tightly contested match.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Recently, Kim has been more effective in converting break points, achieving success 43.1% of the time, as opposed to Nishimura's 35.21%, highlighting a potential advantage for Kim in key situations.

Editorial Prediction (July 21, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match features Kim and Nishimura, each bringing distinct strengths to the court. Kim's robust second serve performance, alongside impressive breakpoint conversion rates, positions them as a formidable force, especially under pressure. Their ability to save breakpoints superbly suggests resilience during critical match stages.

Despite Nishimura’s solid performance in return games and higher success in deciding sets, their overall match-winning percentage is slightly less favorable. Nishimura's struggles to convert breakpoints and save them under pressure could be potential weak spots.

Considering Kim’s higher match win rate, superior breakpoint conversion, and the fact they have faced slightly tougher opponents on average, Kim is likely to emerge as the winner in this closely contested encounter.